With Labour trailing the Conservatives slightly in opinion polls, the British election on May 6 could well produce a “hung” parliament, in which neither major party obtains a majority and the Liberal Democrats hold the balance of power. Depending on which party wins more seats, either Labour’s Gordon Brown or the Conservatives’ David Cameron will … Continue reading Britain’s No-Win Election?
Category: Journalism
The Naked Euro
Dramatic challenges, and mediocre responses: that is the history of the European Union. All too rarely does the EU rise to the level of events, which is why Europe is fading economically and geopolitically. The 1958 Treaty of Rome, which established the European Economic Community, was Europe’s great leap forward. But the decision to create … Continue reading The Naked Euro
Do not rush to switch off the life support
Co-authored with Prof Marcus Miller The fragility of the British economy in face of the Great Recession demands a rethinking not just of macroeconomic policy, but of the balance between consumption and investment, between finance and industry. In response to this challenge, George Osborne, the shadow chancellor, set out a “new economic model” in the … Continue reading Do not rush to switch off the life support
The Big Bank Fix
Two alternative approaches dominate current discussions about banking reform: break-up and regulation. The debate goes back to the early days of US President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s “New Deal,” which pitted “trust-busters” against regulators. In banking, the trust-busters won the day with the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, which divorced commercial banking from investment banking and guaranteed … Continue reading The Big Bank Fix
Letter to the Financial Times: First priority must be to restore robust growth
Sir, In their letter to The Sunday Times of February 14, Professor Tim Besley and 19 co-signatories called for an accelerated programme of fiscal consolidation. We believe they are wrong. There is no disagreement that fiscal consolidation will be necessary to put UK public finances back on a sustainable basis. But the timing of the … Continue reading Letter to the Financial Times: First priority must be to restore robust growth
Unipolar Disorder
Survival: Volume 52, Issue 1 February 2010, pages 187 - 190 Follies of Power: America's Unipolar Fantasy David P. Calleo. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2009. 25.00/$30.00. 176 pp. David Calleo has spent most of his professional life attacking America's claim to global hegemony. He has always said it was bad for the world, and bad … Continue reading Unipolar Disorder
The Bogey of Inflation
How real is the danger of inflation for the world economy? Opinion on this matter is divided between conservative economists and official bodies like the IMF and OECD. The IMF and OECD project very low inflation rates over the next few years. But former US Federal Reserv e Chairman Alan Greenspan warns of inflationary dangers. … Continue reading The Bogey of Inflation
In Regulation We Trust?
From next year, on swearing allegiance to the Queen, all members of Britain’s House of Lords – and I am one of them – will be required to sign a written commitment to honesty and integrity. Unexceptionable principles, one might say. But, until recently, it was assumed that persons appointed to advise the sovereign were … Continue reading In Regulation We Trust?
The Big Squeeze
The Trouble With Markets: Saving Capitalism From Itself by Roger Bootle Nicholas Brealey Publishing, 282pp, £18 The Trouble With Markets, by the economist and financial analyst Roger Bootle, is the latest in a spate of books unleashed by the Great Contraction of 2007-2009. It offers a short, reliable analysis of the crisis in language that … Continue reading The Big Squeeze
What Would Keynes Say? A Dialogue with Tim Congdon
Daniel Johnson: We should begin with Keynes. Robert, you've just published an important new book, The Return of the Master, which has already had a great impact here and abroad. Why is this great economist, who died more than half a century ago, still in your view the key thinker for those who want to … Continue reading What Would Keynes Say? A Dialogue with Tim Congdon