Deficit Disorder: The Keynes Solution

The new chancellor will find himself in the worst starting position of anyone new in that job since the Second World War. According to the Treasury, we are just starting to limp out of the "most severe and synchronised downturn since the Great Depression in the 1930s". Recovery is not secure. With the Greek crisis … Continue reading Deficit Disorder: The Keynes Solution

Advice for a New Government: a reading list

The new government is facing daunting economic challenges. The historically minded will recall that the international financial crisis hit in 1931, two years after the start of the great depression, aborting the recovery and forcing Britain off the gold standard. A double-dip recession is a distinct possibility today; and the government's finances are in a … Continue reading Advice for a New Government: a reading list

The Naked Euro

Dramatic challenges, and mediocre responses: that is the history of the European Union. All too rarely does the EU rise to the level of events, which is why Europe is fading economically and geopolitically. The 1958 Treaty of Rome, which established the European Economic Community, was Europe’s great leap forward. But the decision to create … Continue reading The Naked Euro

Do not rush to switch off the life support

Co-authored with Prof Marcus Miller The fragility of the British economy in face of the Great Recession demands a rethinking not just of macroeconomic policy, but of the balance between consumption and investment, between finance and industry. In response to this challenge, George Osborne, the shadow chancellor, set out a “new economic model” in the … Continue reading Do not rush to switch off the life support

The Big Bank Fix

Two alternative approaches dominate current discussions about banking reform: break-up and regulation. The debate goes back to the early days of US President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s “New Deal,” which pitted “trust-busters” against regulators. In banking, the trust-busters won the day with the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, which divorced commercial banking from investment banking and guaranteed … Continue reading The Big Bank Fix

Letter to the Financial Times: First priority must be to restore robust growth

Sir, In their letter to The Sunday Times of February 14, Professor Tim Besley and 19 co-signatories called for an accelerated programme of fiscal consolidation. We believe they are wrong. There is no disagreement that fiscal consolidation will be necessary to put UK public finances back on a sustainable basis. But the timing of the … Continue reading Letter to the Financial Times: First priority must be to restore robust growth